Why is Erdogan in a hurry? There is no need to give in to Turkish blackmail

Political analyst Hakob Badalyan writes in the Telegram channel: "President of Turkey Erdogan has stated that Armenia and Azerbaijan should sign the peace treaty as soon as possible in order to establish stability in the region. He stated that he expects progress at the Almaty foreign ministerial meeting.

I think it is not difficult to imagine what Erdogan means by progress. According to him, the progress is certainly acceptance of Azerbaijan's conditions as quickly as possible, Armenia accepts Baku's conditions as soon as possible and signs the agreement. What are the conditions in Baku, Aliyev says regularly.

What hastened Erdogan, no matter how strange it may seem, is what is happening in Armenia. Again, no matter how strange it sounds, what is happening at the May 10 meeting can strengthen Armenia's position. Yes, politics is a bit more "rich" phenomenon to subject to "poor" ideas. It's been a few days since I blocked the road with a few dozen people in Kiratz, and I've been saying that the process can be useful for Armenia, and I'm talking about it to this day.

Erdogan has no interest in war in the region. The war will make him heavily dependent on the West, while he postpones his visit to the USA and waits to see how Xi Jinping's visit to Europe and Putin's visit to China will end. And Putin feels so confident that he has been postponing his visit to Turkey for months.

In parallel, after the attack on Israel, Iran's regional leadership became clear. Iran's hypersonic missiles have overcome one of the "holy shrines" of the Middle East status quo, the Israeli Iron Dome.

Apparently, Erdogan has decided to simply play "blackmail" or, if you want stability, agree. You don't have to give in to that blackmail. Of course, any statement by Erdogan should be taken seriously, carefully, but not be blackmailed and simply advance a balanced peace agenda."