It has been reported that the probability of war is 30 percent. Pashinyan

When I assumed the position of Prime Minister, I constantly received reports, the National Security Service constantly warned about the possibility of war. This was announced by Nikol Pashinyan on June 27 at the session of the NA investigative committee studying the circumstances of the 44-day war. He also noted that the National Security Service even announced the dates of a possible war.

According to Pashinyan, he received other reports as well. It was also reported to him that the international partners also consider the war unlikely and call for the RA Armed Forces not to take drastic actions in order not to provoke a war "out of nowhere".

"I was informed that there is a 30 percent chance of a war starting, and that this is a psychological pressure on the political power to make disproportionate concessions," the Prime Minister said. "My political instruction was to be adequate to the situation." In June 2020, I had a meeting at the Ministry of Defense, where I asked whether we have such indicators, if they appear, we estimate that an attack will take place. I have been told there are such indicators. My order was unequivocal that no matter what, I now give an open order that if these indicators appear, the army must act in the prescribed manner."

"Onik Gasparyan told the investigative commission that before the war, the RA Armed Forces were brought to the first degree of readiness in parts, because on September 25, 2020, the conversation of the pilots of the Turkish "F-16" fighter jets was intercepted in the Ganja area through radio interception, according to which: "On Sunday, they had to participate in something important." Gasparyan emphasized that after receiving this information, he "did all the preparatory work intuitively", Andranik Kocharyan noted.

In response, Pashinyan said that this information was reported to him on September 25